Table 3

Measures indicating the size of the task of eliminating measles in the Italian regions. Estimates for basic reproduction numbers (R0) and critical age zero routine vaccination coverages (pc) for measles elimination in the Italian regions. Results in column pairs correspond to different assumptions on contact patterns. (NA = contact matrix non admissible; * = contact matrix admissible only after FOI redefined on adult age group; N = North, C = Centre, S = South.)

Type of mixing pattern
Homogeneous
Default
Realistic assortative
Proportionate
Preferred mixing ε = 0.9)


R0
PC age 0
R0
Pcage 0
R0
Pc age 0
R0
Pc age 0
R0
Pc age 0

Piemonte & Valle D'Aosta (N)
11.83
0,92
NA
NA
11.8*
0.92
4.09
0.76
4.30
0.77
Lombardia (N)
13.16
0,92
6.2
0.84
16.1*
0.94
4.80
0.79
5.18
0.81
Trentino (N)
13.05
0,92
5.4
0.81
16.0*
0.94
4.50
0.78
4.82
0.79
Veneto (N)
12.77
0.92
5.5
0.82
17.6*
0.94
4.77
0.79
5.13
0.81
Friuli V.G. (N)
12.53
0.92
4.9
0.80
13.1*
0.92
4.05
0.75
4.32
0.77
Liguria (N)
10.83
0.91
NA
NA
10.0*
0.90
3.73
0.73
3.95
0.75
Emilia (N)
12.01
0.92
NA
NA
17.5*
0.94
4.41
0.77
4.69
0.79
Toscana (C)
10.27
0.90
NA
NA
9.8*
0.90
3.60
0.72
3.79
0.74
Umbria (C)
11.01
0.91
NA
NA
8.5*
0.88
3.62
0.72
3.81
0.74
Marche (C)
11.32
0.91
NA
NA
10.6*
0.91
3.83
0.74
4.06
0.75
Lazio (C)
11.83
0.92
NA
NA
11.8*
0.92
4.06
0.75
4.27
0.77
Abruzzo (S)
11.60
0.91
NA
NA
14.6*
0.93
4.64
0.78
5.07
0.80
Molise (S)
12.11
0.92
NA
NA
13.2*
0.92
5.68
0.82
6.62
0.85
Campania (S)
13.30
0.92
7.5
0.87
16.3
0.94
5.91
0.83
6.89
0.85
Puglia (S)
14.43
0.93
7.80
0.87
20.1
0.95
6.01
0.83
7.14
0.86
Basilicata (S)
13.82
0.93
6.7
0.85
19.8
0.95
5.19
0.81
5.86
0.83
Calabria (S)
13.32
0.92
6.1
0.84
18.5
0.95
5.07
0.80
5.62
0.82
Sicilia (S)
13.71
0.93
7.5
0.87
16.6
0.94
5.91
0.83
6.98
0.86
Sardegna (S)
13.17
0.92
6.3
0.84
16.6
0.94
5.29
0.81
5.93
0.83
North
12.32
0.92
5.2
0.81
14.9*
0.93
4.38
0.77
4.66
0.79
Centre
11.05
0.91
NA
NA
10.4*
0.90
3.76
0.73
3.96
0.75
South
13.27
0.92
6.6
0.85
16.4
0.94
5.45
0.82
6.19
0.84
Italia
12.14
0.92
5.2
0.81
13.2*
0.92
4.33
0.77
4.64
0.78
Italy-UR
12.93
0.92
6.0
0.83
14.3
0.93
5.04
0.80
5.57
0.82
EURO
17.05
0.94
9.6
0.90
29.3
0.97
7.14
0.86
8.95
0.89

Manfredi et al. Population Health Metrics 2005 3:1   doi:10.1186/1478-7954-3-1