Table 2

Average age at infection (A15) and inter-epidemic period (T) in the Italian regions. Results arising from the time series analysis of regional measles notifications data for the period 1949–76 (N = North, C = Centre, S = South.)


A15 (years)
T from non harmonic estimate (TO) (years)
T from SEIR model (T) (years)

Piemonte & Valle Aosta (N)
6.34
2.39
3.08
Lombardia (N)
5.70
2.37
2.94
Trentino (N)
5.75
2.85
2.94
Veneto (N)
5.87
3.21
2.98
Friuli (N)
5.98
2.77
2.98
Liguria (N)
6.92
5.34
3.22
Emilia (N)
6.24
3.33
3.06
Toscana (C)
7.30
2.85
3.29
Umbria (C)
6.81
3.40
3.21
Marche (C)
6.63
3.27
3.16
Lazio (C)
6.34
3.23
3.08
Abruzzo (S)
6.46
3.40
3.13
Molise (S)
6.19
5.88
3.04
Campania (S)
5.64
3.03
2.90
Puglia (S)
5.20
3.79
2.79
Basilicata (S)
5.43
3.74
2.82
Calabria (S)
5.63
3.45
2.90
Sicilia (S)
5.47
3.14
2.85
Sardegna (S)
5.70
3.79
2.92
North
6.09
2.35
3.02
Centre
6.78
3.27
3.22
South
5.65
3.68
2.90
Italy
6.18
2.35
3.06

Manfredi et al. Population Health Metrics 2005 3:1   doi:10.1186/1478-7954-3-1